Bovada vs Caesars: where their odds disagree
Over the last 30 days, Bovada and Caesars quoted the same line at prices that summed to less than 100% on 61 game-markets — a cross-book arbitrage — with an average net edge of 4.11% and a peak of 14.55%. On plain vig, Bovada is the cheaper book of the two. Last disagreement: Sep 19, 2026.
Vig: Bovada vs Caesars
| Bovada | Caesars | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall overround | 4.45% | 5.78% |
| Moneyline | 4.20% | 5.12% |
| Spreads | 4.46% | 6.09% |
| Totals | 4.64% | 6.16% |
| NFL | 4.53% | 6.12% |
| MLB | 4.58% | 4.13% |
| NBA | 4.50% | 4.58% |
| NHL | 4.18% | 4.67% |
| MLS | 4.62% | — |
Disagreements by sport
How big the edges were
Share of detections by net edge bucket. Most cross-book edges are small; the tail is where the money and the execution risk both live.
Recent examples
Best detection per game-market, most recent first. These windows have closed.
| Game | Market | Legs | Net edge | Detected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox · MLB | total 19.5 | Over @ Bovada + Under @ Caesars | 13.61% | Sep 18, 10:52 PM ET |
| Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills · NFL | total 65.5 | Over @ Caesars + Under @ Bovada | 14.55% | Sep 17, 11:21 PM ET |
| Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds · MLB | total 8.5 | Over @ Bovada + Under @ Caesars | 13.66% | Sep 17, 3:12 PM ET |
| Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates · MLB | moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers @ Bovada + Pittsburgh Pirates @ Caesars | 3.43% | Sep 17, 3:12 PM ET |
| Miami Marlins @ Arizona Diamondbacks · MLB | moneyline | Arizona Diamondbacks @ Bovada + Miami Marlins @ Caesars | 7.30% | Sep 15, 12:50 AM ET |
| San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies · MLB | moneyline | Colorado Rockies @ Caesars + San Diego Padres @ Bovada | 4.94% | Sep 14, 11:49 PM ET |
| Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers · MLB | total 22.5 | Over @ Bovada + Under @ Caesars | 2.73% | Sep 12, 10:00 PM ET |
| Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers · MLB | spread 11.5 | Cincinnati Reds @ Bovada + Los Angeles Dodgers @ Caesars | 11.62% | Sep 10, 12:22 AM ET |
| Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers · MLB | moneyline | Chicago Cubs @ Bovada + Milwaukee Brewers @ Caesars | 3.09% | Sep 8, 10:24 PM ET |
| Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White Sox · MLB | total 13.5 | Over @ Bovada + Under @ Caesars | 6.12% | Sep 8, 8:37 PM ET |
| Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees · MLB | spread 2.5 | Colorado Rockies @ Bovada + New York Yankees @ Caesars | 1.19% | Sep 8, 7:35 PM ET |
| St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants · MLB | moneyline | San Francisco Giants @ Caesars + St. Louis Cardinals @ Bovada | 2.42% | Sep 7, 10:53 PM ET |
| Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles · MLB | total 10.5 | Over @ Bovada + Under @ Caesars | 3.31% | Sep 7, 4:31 PM ET |
| Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles · MLB | spread 1.5 | Baltimore Orioles @ Caesars + Cleveland Guardians @ Bovada | 3.31% | Sep 7, 4:31 PM ET |
| Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers · MLB | total 8.5 | Over @ Caesars + Under @ Bovada | 0.30% | Sep 7, 3:45 PM ET |
Frequently asked questions
How often do Bovada and Caesars disagree?
In the last 30 days our scanner recorded 61 game-markets where Bovada and Caesars quoted the same line at prices whose implied probabilities summed to less than 100% — a cross-book arbitrage — across 68 scans. The average net edge was 4.11% and the largest 14.55%.
Which has lower vig, Bovada or Caesars?
Bovada — Bovada measures 4.45% overall and Caesars measures 5.78% over 30 days of live lines. The per-market and per-sport breakdown is in the table above.
Does this mean I can make money betting both?
Not automatically. These are measurements of past disagreements at the moment they were detected. Lines move within minutes, displayed prices may not be available at your stake, both books must be accessible in your state, and neither book has to honor a stale price. ArbMonster shows the math; the execution and the risk are yours.
Which sports do Bovada and Caesars disagree on most?
MLB (60 game-markets, avg 3.95%); NFL (1 game-markets, avg 14.55%).
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