Bovada vs Hard Rock Bet: where their odds disagree
Over the last 30 days, Bovada and Hard Rock Bet quoted the same line at prices that summed to less than 100% on 50 game-markets — a cross-book arbitrage — with an average net edge of 3.39% and a peak of 11.24%. On plain vig, Bovada is the cheaper book of the two. Last disagreement: Sep 19, 2026.
Vig: Bovada vs Hard Rock Bet
| Bovada | Hard Rock Bet | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall overround | 4.45% | 4.63% |
| Moneyline | 4.20% | 4.19% |
| Spreads | 4.46% | 5.07% |
| Totals | 4.64% | 4.63% |
| NFL | 4.53% | 4.57% |
| MLB | 4.58% | 3.86% |
| NBA | 4.50% | — |
| NHL | 4.18% | 5.33% |
| MLS | 4.62% | — |
Disagreements by sport
How big the edges were
Share of detections by net edge bucket. Most cross-book edges are small; the tail is where the money and the execution risk both live.
Recent examples
Best detection per game-market, most recent first. These windows have closed.
| Game | Market | Legs | Net edge | Detected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks · MLB | total 11.5 | Over @ Hard Rock Bet + Under @ Bovada | 2.44% | Sep 19, 12:08 AM ET |
| Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates · MLB | moneyline | Kansas City Royals @ Hard Rock Bet + Pittsburgh Pirates @ Bovada | 1.01% | Sep 18, 7:33 PM ET |
| New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins · MLB | total 11.5 | Over @ Hard Rock Bet + Under @ Bovada | 1.83% | Sep 14, 10:33 PM ET |
| Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians · MLB | total 8.5 | Over @ Hard Rock Bet + Under @ Bovada | 10.67% | Sep 14, 9:47 PM ET |
| Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers · NFL | moneyline | Arizona Cardinals @ Bovada + Los Angeles Chargers @ Hard Rock Bet | 4.35% | Sep 13, 6:50 PM ET |
| Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays · MLB | total 6.5 | Over @ Hard Rock Bet + Under @ Bovada | 3.74% | Sep 13, 4:18 PM ET |
| Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans · NFL | spread 1.5 | Buffalo Bills @ Bovada + Houston Texans @ Hard Rock Bet | 6.24% | Sep 13, 3:47 PM ET |
| Los Angeles Dodgers @ Miami Marlins · MLB | total 7.5 | Over @ Bovada + Under @ Hard Rock Bet | 3.74% | Sep 12, 6:26 PM ET |
| Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins · MLB | moneyline | Cleveland Guardians @ Hard Rock Bet + Minnesota Twins @ Bovada | 10.67% | Sep 12, 5:10 PM ET |
| New York Mets @ Miami Marlins · MLB | spread 3.5 | Miami Marlins @ Bovada + New York Mets @ Hard Rock Bet | 0.94% | Sep 9, 9:50 PM ET |
| Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals · MLB | total 7.5 | Over @ Hard Rock Bet + Under @ Bovada | 2.26% | Sep 9, 9:35 PM ET |
| Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals · MLB | spread 1.5 | Arizona Diamondbacks @ Bovada + Kansas City Royals @ Hard Rock Bet | 4.48% | Sep 9, 9:35 PM ET |
| Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers · MLB | spread 1.5 | Cincinnati Reds @ Bovada + Los Angeles Dodgers @ Hard Rock Bet | 3.00% | Sep 9, 12:11 AM ET |
| Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers · MLB | moneyline | Chicago Cubs @ Bovada + Milwaukee Brewers @ Hard Rock Bet | 0.21% | Sep 8, 10:39 PM ET |
| Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres · MLB | spread 1.5 | San Diego Padres @ Hard Rock Bet + Washington Nationals @ Bovada | 2.44% | Sep 7, 6:48 PM ET |
Frequently asked questions
How often do Bovada and Hard Rock Bet disagree?
In the last 30 days our scanner recorded 50 game-markets where Bovada and Hard Rock Bet quoted the same line at prices whose implied probabilities summed to less than 100% — a cross-book arbitrage — across 62 scans. The average net edge was 3.39% and the largest 11.24%.
Which has lower vig, Bovada or Hard Rock Bet?
Bovada — Bovada measures 4.45% overall and Hard Rock Bet measures 4.63% over 30 days of live lines. The per-market and per-sport breakdown is in the table above.
Does this mean I can make money betting both?
Not automatically. These are measurements of past disagreements at the moment they were detected. Lines move within minutes, displayed prices may not be available at your stake, both books must be accessible in your state, and neither book has to honor a stale price. ArbMonster shows the math; the execution and the risk are yours.
Which sports do Bovada and Hard Rock Bet disagree on most?
MLB (48 game-markets, avg 3.33%); NFL (2 game-markets, avg 5.29%).
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