Bovada vs ESPN BET: where their odds disagree
Over the last 30 days, Bovada and ESPN BET quoted the same line at prices that summed to less than 100% on 43 game-markets — a cross-book arbitrage — with an average net edge of 4.41% and a peak of 14.75%. On plain vig, Bovada is the cheaper book of the two. Last disagreement: Sep 16, 2026.
Vig: Bovada vs ESPN BET
| Bovada | ESPN BET | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall overround | 4.45% | 4.55% |
| Moneyline | 4.20% | 4.12% |
| Spreads | 4.46% | 4.87% |
| Totals | 4.64% | 4.66% |
| NFL | 4.53% | 4.54% |
| MLB | 4.58% | 4.45% |
| NBA | 4.50% | 4.51% |
| NHL | 4.18% | 4.69% |
| MLS | 4.62% | — |
Disagreements by sport
How big the edges were
Share of detections by net edge bucket. Most cross-book edges are small; the tail is where the money and the execution risk both live.
Recent examples
Best detection per game-market, most recent first. These windows have closed.
| Game | Market | Legs | Net edge | Detected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals · MLB | moneyline | San Francisco Giants @ ESPN BET + St. Louis Cardinals @ Bovada | 14.75% | Sep 16, 4:40 PM ET |
| San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals · MLB | spread 2.5 | San Francisco Giants @ ESPN BET + St. Louis Cardinals @ Bovada | 4.94% | Sep 16, 3:09 PM ET |
| Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders · NFL | moneyline | Las Vegas Raiders @ Bovada + Miami Dolphins @ ESPN BET | 3.59% | Sep 13, 5:03 PM ET |
| Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles · NFL | moneyline | Philadelphia Eagles @ Bovada + Washington Commanders @ ESPN BET | 6.15% | Sep 13, 5:03 PM ET |
| Chicago White Sox @ St. Louis Cardinals · MLB | total 4.5 | Over @ Bovada + Under @ ESPN BET | 12.28% | Sep 13, 4:33 PM ET |
| Los Angeles Dodgers @ Miami Marlins · MLB | moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers @ ESPN BET + Miami Marlins @ Bovada | 0.98% | Sep 12, 5:10 PM ET |
| Los Angeles Angels @ Washington Nationals · MLB | total 5.5 | Over @ Bovada + Under @ ESPN BET | 3.61% | Sep 11, 9:17 PM ET |
| Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics · MLB | total 7.5 | Over @ ESPN BET + Under @ Bovada | 0.92% | Sep 8, 10:54 PM ET |
| Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox · MLB | total 7.5 | Over @ Bovada + Under @ ESPN BET | 7.14% | Sep 8, 9:53 PM ET |
| Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox · MLB | spread 4.5 | Boston Red Sox @ Bovada + Los Angeles Angels @ ESPN BET | 8.61% | Sep 8, 9:53 PM ET |
| Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White Sox · MLB | spread 7.5 | Chicago White Sox @ ESPN BET + Pittsburgh Pirates @ Bovada | 8.25% | Sep 8, 9:38 PM ET |
| Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White Sox · MLB | total 14.5 | Over @ Bovada + Under @ ESPN BET | 6.24% | Sep 8, 8:21 PM ET |
| Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles · MLB | total 12.5 | Over @ Bovada + Under @ ESPN BET | 2.86% | Sep 8, 7:20 PM ET |
| Washington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgers · MLB | total 10.5 | Over @ Bovada + Under @ ESPN BET | 2.44% | Sep 6, 11:14 PM ET |
| Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles · MLB | total 4.5 | Over @ Bovada + Under @ ESPN BET | 1.08% | Sep 6, 3:54 PM ET |
Frequently asked questions
How often do Bovada and ESPN BET disagree?
In the last 30 days our scanner recorded 43 game-markets where Bovada and ESPN BET quoted the same line at prices whose implied probabilities summed to less than 100% — a cross-book arbitrage — across 45 scans. The average net edge was 4.41% and the largest 14.75%.
Which has lower vig, Bovada or ESPN BET?
Bovada — Bovada measures 4.45% overall and ESPN BET measures 4.55% over 30 days of live lines. The per-market and per-sport breakdown is in the table above.
Does this mean I can make money betting both?
Not automatically. These are measurements of past disagreements at the moment they were detected. Lines move within minutes, displayed prices may not be available at your stake, both books must be accessible in your state, and neither book has to honor a stale price. ArbMonster shows the math; the execution and the risk are yours.
Which sports do Bovada and ESPN BET disagree on most?
MLB (41 game-markets, avg 4.43%); NFL (2 game-markets, avg 4.06%).
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