LowVig vs Caesars: where their odds disagree
Over the last 30 days, LowVig and Caesars quoted the same line at prices that summed to less than 100% on 30 game-markets — a cross-book arbitrage — with an average net edge of 2.42% and a peak of 12.40%. On plain vig, LowVig is the cheaper book of the two. Last disagreement: Sep 16, 2026.
Vig: LowVig vs Caesars
| LowVig | Caesars | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall overround | 3.68% | 5.78% |
| Moneyline | 3.06% | 5.12% |
| Spreads | 3.52% | 6.09% |
| Totals | 4.16% | 6.16% |
| NFL | 3.19% | 6.12% |
| MLB | 3.00% | 4.13% |
| NBA | 3.34% | 4.58% |
| NHL | 3.35% | 4.67% |
| MLS | 5.90% | — |
Disagreements by sport
| Sport | Game-markets | Avg net edge | Max net edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 30 | 2.42% | 12.40% |
How big the edges were
Share of detections by net edge bucket. Most cross-book edges are small; the tail is where the money and the execution risk both live.
Recent examples
Best detection per game-market, most recent first. These windows have closed.
| Game | Market | Legs | Net edge | Detected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins @ Arizona Diamondbacks · MLB | total 8.5 | Over @ Caesars + Under @ LowVig | 2.00% | Sep 15, 9:48 PM ET |
| Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Angels · MLB | spread 1.5 | Los Angeles Angels @ LowVig + Seattle Mariners @ Caesars | 0.49% | Sep 15, 9:48 PM ET |
| Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs · MLB | total 8.5 | Over @ Caesars + Under @ LowVig | 0.84% | Sep 15, 7:46 PM ET |
| Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates · MLB | moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers @ LowVig + Pittsburgh Pirates @ Caesars | 0.23% | Sep 15, 9:46 AM ET |
| San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies · MLB | moneyline | Colorado Rockies @ LowVig + San Diego Padres @ Caesars | 2.16% | Sep 14, 8:46 PM ET |
| Los Angeles Angels @ Washington Nationals · MLB | total 8.5 | Over @ Caesars + Under @ LowVig | 0.72% | Sep 12, 4:09 PM ET |
| Chicago White Sox @ St. Louis Cardinals · MLB | spread 1.5 | Chicago White Sox @ LowVig + St. Louis Cardinals @ Caesars | 11.06% | Sep 11, 9:32 PM ET |
| Chicago White Sox @ St. Louis Cardinals · MLB | moneyline | Chicago White Sox @ LowVig + St. Louis Cardinals @ Caesars | 12.40% | Sep 11, 9:32 PM ET |
| Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White Sox · MLB | total 7.5 | Over @ Caesars + Under @ LowVig | 2.70% | Sep 10, 7:47 PM ET |
| Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners · MLB | spread 1.5 | Seattle Mariners @ LowVig + Texas Rangers @ Caesars | 0.53% | Sep 9, 4:15 PM ET |
| Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox · MLB | moneyline | Boston Red Sox @ Caesars + Los Angeles Angels @ LowVig | 0.78% | Sep 8, 6:49 PM ET |
| Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies · MLB | spread 1.5 | Houston Astros @ Caesars + Philadelphia Phillies @ LowVig | 2.94% | Sep 8, 6:49 PM ET |
| Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers · MLB | spread 1.5 | Cincinnati Reds @ LowVig + Los Angeles Dodgers @ Caesars | 0.71% | Sep 7, 9:54 AM ET |
| Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers · MLB | moneyline | Cincinnati Reds @ LowVig + Los Angeles Dodgers @ Caesars | 1.48% | Sep 7, 9:54 AM ET |
| Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox · MLB | total 8.5 | Over @ Caesars + Under @ LowVig | 0.46% | Sep 6, 6:26 PM ET |
Frequently asked questions
How often do LowVig and Caesars disagree?
In the last 30 days our scanner recorded 30 game-markets where LowVig and Caesars quoted the same line at prices whose implied probabilities summed to less than 100% — a cross-book arbitrage — across 30 scans. The average net edge was 2.42% and the largest 12.40%.
Which has lower vig, LowVig or Caesars?
LowVig — LowVig measures 3.68% overall and Caesars measures 5.78% over 30 days of live lines. The per-market and per-sport breakdown is in the table above.
Does this mean I can make money betting both?
Not automatically. These are measurements of past disagreements at the moment they were detected. Lines move within minutes, displayed prices may not be available at your stake, both books must be accessible in your state, and neither book has to honor a stale price. ArbMonster shows the math; the execution and the risk are yours.
Which sports do LowVig and Caesars disagree on most?
MLB (30 game-markets, avg 2.42%).
← all sportsbooks · LowVig · Caesars · what arbitrage is · dutching calculator