Hard Rock Bet vs LowVig: where their odds disagree
Over the last 30 days, Hard Rock Bet and LowVig quoted the same line at prices that summed to less than 100% on 14 game-markets — a cross-book arbitrage — with an average net edge of 2.44% and a peak of 14.11%. On plain vig, LowVig is the cheaper book of the two. Last disagreement: Sep 19, 2026.
Vig: Hard Rock Bet vs LowVig
| Hard Rock Bet | LowVig | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall overround | 4.63% | 3.68% |
| Moneyline | 4.19% | 3.06% |
| Spreads | 5.07% | 3.52% |
| Totals | 4.63% | 4.16% |
| NFL | 4.57% | 3.19% |
| MLB | 3.86% | 3.00% |
| NHL | 5.33% | 3.35% |
| NBA | — | 3.34% |
| MLS | — | 5.90% |
Disagreements by sport
| Sport | Game-markets | Avg net edge | Max net edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 14 | 2.44% | 14.11% |
How big the edges were
Share of detections by net edge bucket. Most cross-book edges are small; the tail is where the money and the execution risk both live.
Recent examples
Best detection per game-market, most recent first. These windows have closed.
| Game | Market | Legs | Net edge | Detected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins @ San Diego Padres · MLB | moneyline | Miami Marlins @ Hard Rock Bet + San Diego Padres @ LowVig | 2.59% | Sep 18, 9:51 PM ET |
| Boston Red Sox @ Texas Rangers · MLB | total 7.5 | Over @ Hard Rock Bet + Under @ LowVig | 1.91% | Sep 17, 8:18 PM ET |
| Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox · MLB | spread 1.5 | Chicago White Sox @ LowVig + Detroit Tigers @ Hard Rock Bet | 2.08% | Sep 17, 7:47 PM ET |
| New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins · MLB | moneyline | Minnesota Twins @ LowVig + New York Yankees @ Hard Rock Bet | 7.06% | Sep 16, 1:53 PM ET |
| Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees · MLB | moneyline | Colorado Rockies @ Hard Rock Bet + New York Yankees @ LowVig | 1.49% | Sep 10, 7:17 PM ET |
| Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees · MLB | moneyline | Colorado Rockies @ Hard Rock Bet + New York Yankees @ LowVig | 2.35% | Sep 9, 7:19 PM ET |
| New York Mets @ Miami Marlins · MLB | total 8.5 | Over @ Hard Rock Bet + Under @ LowVig | 0.74% | Sep 9, 6:48 PM ET |
| Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies · MLB | spread 1.5 | Houston Astros @ Hard Rock Bet + Philadelphia Phillies @ LowVig | 2.05% | Sep 9, 6:48 PM ET |
| Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres · MLB | spread 1.5 | San Diego Padres @ LowVig + Washington Nationals @ Hard Rock Bet | 0.23% | Sep 9, 4:15 PM ET |
| Athletics @ Seattle Mariners · MLB | spread 1.5 | Athletics @ Hard Rock Bet + Seattle Mariners @ LowVig | 1.70% | Sep 5, 9:49 PM ET |
| Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers · MLB | total 7.5 | Over @ Hard Rock Bet + Under @ LowVig | 1.72% | Sep 3, 8:12 PM ET |
| San Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds · MLB | spread 1.5 | Cincinnati Reds @ LowVig + San Diego Padres @ Hard Rock Bet | 0.58% | Aug 31, 2:17 AM ET |
| Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals · MLB | spread 1.5 | Colorado Rockies @ Hard Rock Bet + Washington Nationals @ LowVig | 2.94% | Aug 27, 1:20 PM ET |
| Athletics @ Houston Astros · MLB | moneyline | Athletics @ Hard Rock Bet + Houston Astros @ LowVig | 14.11% | Aug 23, 2:24 PM ET |
Frequently asked questions
How often do Hard Rock Bet and LowVig disagree?
In the last 30 days our scanner recorded 14 game-markets where Hard Rock Bet and LowVig quoted the same line at prices whose implied probabilities summed to less than 100% — a cross-book arbitrage — across 18 scans. The average net edge was 2.44% and the largest 14.11%.
Which has lower vig, Hard Rock Bet or LowVig?
LowVig — Hard Rock Bet measures 4.63% overall and LowVig measures 3.68% over 30 days of live lines. The per-market and per-sport breakdown is in the table above.
Does this mean I can make money betting both?
Not automatically. These are measurements of past disagreements at the moment they were detected. Lines move within minutes, displayed prices may not be available at your stake, both books must be accessible in your state, and neither book has to honor a stale price. ArbMonster shows the math; the execution and the risk are yours.
Which sports do Hard Rock Bet and LowVig disagree on most?
MLB (14 game-markets, avg 2.44%).
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