FanDuel vs Hard Rock Bet: where their odds disagree
Over the last 30 days, FanDuel and Hard Rock Bet quoted the same line at prices that summed to less than 100% on 35 game-markets — a cross-book arbitrage — with an average net edge of 3.60% and a peak of 11.67%. On plain vig, FanDuel is the cheaper book of the two. Last disagreement: Sep 19, 2026.
Vig: FanDuel vs Hard Rock Bet
| FanDuel | Hard Rock Bet | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall overround | 4.58% | 4.63% |
| Moneyline | 4.00% | 4.19% |
| Spreads | 4.84% | 5.07% |
| Totals | 4.90% | 4.63% |
| NFL | 4.57% | 4.57% |
| MLB | 4.56% | 3.86% |
| NBA | 4.50% | — |
| NHL | 4.85% | 5.33% |
Disagreements by sport
How big the edges were
Share of detections by net edge bucket. Most cross-book edges are small; the tail is where the money and the execution risk both live.
Recent examples
Best detection per game-market, most recent first. These windows have closed.
| Game | Market | Legs | Net edge | Detected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers · MLB | spread 2.5 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Hard Rock Bet + San Francisco Giants @ FanDuel | 2.01% | Sep 19, 12:39 AM ET |
| Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds · MLB | moneyline | Chicago Cubs @ Hard Rock Bet + Cincinnati Reds @ FanDuel | 0.26% | Sep 18, 9:36 PM ET |
| Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets · MLB | spread 3.5 | New York Mets @ FanDuel + Philadelphia Phillies @ Hard Rock Bet | 3.64% | Sep 18, 9:20 PM ET |
| Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays · MLB | moneyline | Boston Red Sox @ Hard Rock Bet + Tampa Bay Rays @ FanDuel | 3.85% | Sep 18, 7:33 PM ET |
| Kansas City Royals @ Houston Astros · MLB | spread 3.5 | Houston Astros @ FanDuel + Kansas City Royals @ Hard Rock Bet | 3.84% | Sep 17, 9:34 PM ET |
| Kansas City Royals @ Houston Astros · MLB | spread 2.5 | Houston Astros @ FanDuel + Kansas City Royals @ Hard Rock Bet | 3.12% | Sep 16, 11:01 PM ET |
| Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds · MLB | moneyline | Cincinnati Reds @ Hard Rock Bet + Los Angeles Dodgers @ FanDuel | 3.77% | Sep 16, 7:13 PM ET |
| Detroit Tigers @ Toronto Blue Jays · MLB | moneyline | Detroit Tigers @ Hard Rock Bet + Toronto Blue Jays @ FanDuel | 1.38% | Sep 16, 3:24 PM ET |
| Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings · NFL | total 61.5 | Over @ Hard Rock Bet + Under @ FanDuel | 4.76% | Sep 13, 7:35 PM ET |
| Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings · NFL | spread 16.5 | Green Bay Packers @ Hard Rock Bet + Minnesota Vikings @ FanDuel | 11.67% | Sep 13, 7:35 PM ET |
| Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox · MLB | spread 2.5 | Boston Red Sox @ FanDuel + Kansas City Royals @ Hard Rock Bet | 11.37% | Sep 13, 7:35 PM ET |
| Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves · MLB | total 6.5 | Over @ FanDuel + Under @ Hard Rock Bet | 9.15% | Sep 13, 3:47 PM ET |
| Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs · MLB | total 7.5 | Over @ FanDuel + Under @ Hard Rock Bet | 1.28% | Sep 12, 4:54 PM ET |
| Los Angeles Angels @ Washington Nationals · MLB | spread 1.5 | Los Angeles Angels @ FanDuel + Washington Nationals @ Hard Rock Bet | 0.50% | Sep 12, 4:39 PM ET |
| Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers · MLB | total 11.5 | Over @ Hard Rock Bet + Under @ FanDuel | 0.40% | Sep 12, 3:53 PM ET |
Frequently asked questions
How often do FanDuel and Hard Rock Bet disagree?
In the last 30 days our scanner recorded 35 game-markets where FanDuel and Hard Rock Bet quoted the same line at prices whose implied probabilities summed to less than 100% — a cross-book arbitrage — across 35 scans. The average net edge was 3.60% and the largest 11.67%.
Which has lower vig, FanDuel or Hard Rock Bet?
FanDuel — FanDuel measures 4.58% overall and Hard Rock Bet measures 4.63% over 30 days of live lines. The per-market and per-sport breakdown is in the table above.
Does this mean I can make money betting both?
Not automatically. These are measurements of past disagreements at the moment they were detected. Lines move within minutes, displayed prices may not be available at your stake, both books must be accessible in your state, and neither book has to honor a stale price. ArbMonster shows the math; the execution and the risk are yours.
Which sports do FanDuel and Hard Rock Bet disagree on most?
MLB (33 game-markets, avg 3.31%); NFL (2 game-markets, avg 8.22%).
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