Fanatics Sportsbook vs Hard Rock Bet: where their odds disagree
Over the last 30 days, Fanatics Sportsbook and Hard Rock Bet quoted the same line at prices that summed to less than 100% on 22 game-markets — a cross-book arbitrage — with an average net edge of 4.69% and a peak of 14.64%. On plain vig, Hard Rock Bet is the cheaper book of the two. Last disagreement: Sep 19, 2026.
Vig: Fanatics Sportsbook vs Hard Rock Bet
| Fanatics Sportsbook | Hard Rock Bet | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall overround | 4.75% | 4.63% |
| Moneyline | 4.54% | 4.19% |
| Spreads | 4.91% | 5.07% |
| Totals | 4.80% | 4.63% |
| NFL | 4.65% | 4.57% |
| MLB | 4.87% | 3.86% |
| NBA | 4.64% | — |
| NHL | 4.73% | 5.33% |
Disagreements by sport
| Sport | Game-markets | Avg net edge | Max net edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 22 | 4.69% | 14.64% |
How big the edges were
Share of detections by net edge bucket. Most cross-book edges are small; the tail is where the money and the execution risk both live.
Recent examples
Best detection per game-market, most recent first. These windows have closed.
| Game | Market | Legs | Net edge | Detected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics @ Cleveland Guardians · MLB | total 9.5 | Over @ Hard Rock Bet + Under @ Fanatics Sportsbook | 4.94% | Sep 18, 9:05 PM ET |
| Athletics @ Cleveland Guardians · MLB | moneyline | Athletics @ Fanatics Sportsbook + Cleveland Guardians @ Hard Rock Bet | 5.55% | Sep 18, 9:05 PM ET |
| Athletics @ Cleveland Guardians · MLB | spread 1.5 | Athletics @ Fanatics Sportsbook + Cleveland Guardians @ Hard Rock Bet | 4.35% | Sep 18, 8:50 PM ET |
| Kansas City Royals @ Houston Astros · MLB | total 7.5 | Over @ Fanatics Sportsbook + Under @ Hard Rock Bet | 1.08% | Sep 17, 8:18 PM ET |
| Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays · MLB | total 9.5 | Over @ Fanatics Sportsbook + Under @ Hard Rock Bet | 7.27% | Sep 17, 3:27 PM ET |
| San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals · MLB | total 11.5 | Over @ Hard Rock Bet + Under @ Fanatics Sportsbook | 1.15% | Sep 15, 9:48 PM ET |
| San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals · MLB | spread 5.5 | San Francisco Giants @ Fanatics Sportsbook + St. Louis Cardinals @ Hard Rock Bet | 1.93% | Sep 15, 9:48 PM ET |
| New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins · MLB | total 9.5 | Over @ Fanatics Sportsbook + Under @ Hard Rock Bet | 5.00% | Sep 14, 10:17 PM ET |
| Chicago White Sox @ St. Louis Cardinals · MLB | total 9.5 | Over @ Fanatics Sportsbook + Under @ Hard Rock Bet | 6.12% | Sep 12, 10:15 PM ET |
| Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins · MLB | total 5.5 | Over @ Fanatics Sportsbook + Under @ Hard Rock Bet | 1.23% | Sep 11, 10:33 PM ET |
| Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays · MLB | total 10.5 | Over @ Hard Rock Bet + Under @ Fanatics Sportsbook | 2.26% | Sep 11, 8:46 PM ET |
| Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers · MLB | spread 6.5 | Chicago Cubs @ Fanatics Sportsbook + Milwaukee Brewers @ Hard Rock Bet | 0.83% | Sep 9, 9:35 PM ET |
| Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies · MLB | total 18.5 | Over @ Hard Rock Bet + Under @ Fanatics Sportsbook | 1.23% | Sep 9, 9:20 PM ET |
| Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies · MLB | spread 2.5 | Houston Astros @ Hard Rock Bet + Philadelphia Phillies @ Fanatics Sportsbook | 1.11% | Sep 9, 7:34 PM ET |
| Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics · MLB | moneyline | Athletics @ Hard Rock Bet + Toronto Blue Jays @ Fanatics Sportsbook | 1.70% | Sep 9, 5:32 PM ET |
Frequently asked questions
How often do Fanatics Sportsbook and Hard Rock Bet disagree?
In the last 30 days our scanner recorded 22 game-markets where Fanatics Sportsbook and Hard Rock Bet quoted the same line at prices whose implied probabilities summed to less than 100% — a cross-book arbitrage — across 23 scans. The average net edge was 4.69% and the largest 14.64%.
Which has lower vig, Fanatics Sportsbook or Hard Rock Bet?
Hard Rock Bet — Fanatics Sportsbook measures 4.75% overall and Hard Rock Bet measures 4.63% over 30 days of live lines. The per-market and per-sport breakdown is in the table above.
Does this mean I can make money betting both?
Not automatically. These are measurements of past disagreements at the moment they were detected. Lines move within minutes, displayed prices may not be available at your stake, both books must be accessible in your state, and neither book has to honor a stale price. ArbMonster shows the math; the execution and the risk are yours.
Which sports do Fanatics Sportsbook and Hard Rock Bet disagree on most?
MLB (22 game-markets, avg 4.69%).
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