ESPN BET vs Caesars: where their odds disagree
Over the last 30 days, ESPN BET and Caesars quoted the same line at prices that summed to less than 100% on 52 game-markets — a cross-book arbitrage — with an average net edge of 1.16% and a peak of 14.72%. On plain vig, ESPN BET is the cheaper book of the two. Last disagreement: Sep 19, 2026.
Vig: ESPN BET vs Caesars
| ESPN BET | Caesars | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall overround | 4.55% | 5.78% |
| Moneyline | 4.12% | 5.12% |
| Spreads | 4.87% | 6.09% |
| Totals | 4.66% | 6.16% |
| NFL | 4.54% | 6.12% |
| MLB | 4.45% | 4.13% |
| NBA | 4.51% | 4.58% |
| NHL | 4.69% | 4.67% |
Disagreements by sport
How big the edges were
Share of detections by net edge bucket. Most cross-book edges are small; the tail is where the money and the execution risk both live.
Recent examples
Best detection per game-market, most recent first. These windows have closed.
| Game | Market | Legs | Net edge | Detected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays · MLB | total 7.5 | Over @ ESPN BET + Under @ Caesars | 1.29% | Sep 18, 9:05 PM ET |
| Toronto Blue Jays @ Texas Rangers · MLB | total 9.5 | Over @ Caesars + Under @ ESPN BET | 2.70% | Sep 18, 8:50 PM ET |
| Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills · NFL | total 65.5 | Over @ ESPN BET + Under @ Caesars | 14.72% | Sep 17, 11:05 PM ET |
| Boston Red Sox @ Texas Rangers · MLB | spread 2.5 | Boston Red Sox @ ESPN BET + Texas Rangers @ Caesars | 3.43% | Sep 17, 9:49 PM ET |
| Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox · MLB | spread 1.5 | Chicago White Sox @ Caesars + Detroit Tigers @ ESPN BET | 1.09% | Sep 17, 9:49 PM ET |
| Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox · MLB | total 5.5 | Over @ ESPN BET + Under @ Caesars | 8.89% | Sep 17, 9:49 PM ET |
| Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox · MLB | total 9.5 | Over @ ESPN BET + Under @ Caesars | 1.37% | Sep 17, 8:33 PM ET |
| Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates · MLB | spread 2.5 | Milwaukee Brewers @ ESPN BET + Pittsburgh Pirates @ Caesars | 0.91% | Sep 17, 2:42 PM ET |
| Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates · MLB | total 9.5 | Over @ Caesars + Under @ ESPN BET | 5.99% | Sep 17, 2:27 PM ET |
| Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds · MLB | total 8.5 | Over @ Caesars + Under @ ESPN BET | 0.30% | Sep 16, 8:29 PM ET |
| Miami Marlins @ Arizona Diamondbacks · MLB | total 4.5 | Over @ Caesars + Under @ ESPN BET | 1.23% | Sep 16, 12:52 AM ET |
| Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Angels · MLB | spread 1.5 | Los Angeles Angels @ Caesars + Seattle Mariners @ ESPN BET | 2.08% | Sep 15, 10:19 PM ET |
| New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins · MLB | spread 6.5 | Minnesota Twins @ ESPN BET + New York Yankees @ Caesars | 3.52% | Sep 15, 10:19 PM ET |
| Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates · MLB | total 4.5 | Over @ Caesars + Under @ ESPN BET | 1.11% | Sep 15, 8:16 PM ET |
| Texas Rangers @ Arizona Diamondbacks · MLB | total 7.5 | Over @ ESPN BET + Under @ Caesars | 1.52% | Sep 13, 5:18 PM ET |
Frequently asked questions
How often do ESPN BET and Caesars disagree?
In the last 30 days our scanner recorded 52 game-markets where ESPN BET and Caesars quoted the same line at prices whose implied probabilities summed to less than 100% — a cross-book arbitrage — across 431 scans. The average net edge was 1.16% and the largest 14.72%.
Which has lower vig, ESPN BET or Caesars?
ESPN BET — ESPN BET measures 4.55% overall and Caesars measures 5.78% over 30 days of live lines. The per-market and per-sport breakdown is in the table above.
Does this mean I can make money betting both?
Not automatically. These are measurements of past disagreements at the moment they were detected. Lines move within minutes, displayed prices may not be available at your stake, both books must be accessible in your state, and neither book has to honor a stale price. ArbMonster shows the math; the execution and the risk are yours.
Which sports do ESPN BET and Caesars disagree on most?
MLB (48 game-markets, avg 2.34%); NFL (4 game-markets, avg 1.01%).
← all sportsbooks · ESPN BET · Caesars · what arbitrage is · dutching calculator