ESPN BET vs LowVig: where their odds disagree
Over the last 30 days, ESPN BET and LowVig quoted the same line at prices that summed to less than 100% on 13 game-markets — a cross-book arbitrage — with an average net edge of 1.31% and a peak of 3.22%. On plain vig, LowVig is the cheaper book of the two. Last disagreement: Sep 18, 2026.
Vig: ESPN BET vs LowVig
| ESPN BET | LowVig | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall overround | 4.55% | 3.68% |
| Moneyline | 4.12% | 3.06% |
| Spreads | 4.87% | 3.52% |
| Totals | 4.66% | 4.16% |
| NFL | 4.54% | 3.19% |
| MLB | 4.45% | 3.00% |
| NBA | 4.51% | 3.34% |
| NHL | 4.69% | 3.35% |
| MLS | — | 5.90% |
Disagreements by sport
How big the edges were
Share of detections by net edge bucket. Most cross-book edges are small; the tail is where the money and the execution risk both live.
Recent examples
Best detection per game-market, most recent first. These windows have closed.
| Game | Market | Legs | Net edge | Detected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers @ Baltimore Orioles · MLB | spread 1.5 | Baltimore Orioles @ LowVig + Milwaukee Brewers @ ESPN BET | 2.20% | Sep 18, 7:17 PM ET |
| Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates · MLB | total 8.5 | Over @ LowVig + Under @ ESPN BET | 3.22% | Sep 18, 6:46 PM ET |
| Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates · MLB | total 7.5 | Over @ LowVig + Under @ ESPN BET | 0.74% | Sep 16, 12:52 AM ET |
| New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins · MLB | spread 1.5 | Minnesota Twins @ ESPN BET + New York Yankees @ LowVig | 2.25% | Sep 15, 7:46 PM ET |
| Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox · MLB | total 8.5 | Over @ LowVig + Under @ ESPN BET | 3.22% | Sep 11, 7:14 PM ET |
| Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics · MLB | spread 1.5 | Athletics @ LowVig + Toronto Blue Jays @ ESPN BET | 1.22% | Sep 9, 3:14 PM ET |
| Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants · NFL | spread 3.0 | Dallas Cowboys @ ESPN BET + New York Giants @ LowVig | 1.23% | Sep 4, 6:27 PM ET |
| Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles · MLB | total 8.5 | Over @ LowVig + Under @ ESPN BET | 1.91% | Sep 3, 7:26 PM ET |
| Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros · MLB | total 8.5 | Over @ LowVig + Under @ ESPN BET | 0.30% | Sep 3, 3:51 PM ET |
| Philadelphia Phillies @ Arizona Diamondbacks · MLB | total 8.5 | Over @ ESPN BET + Under @ LowVig | 0.50% | Sep 2, 3:46 PM ET |
| Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals · MLB | total 9.5 | Over @ ESPN BET + Under @ LowVig | 2.96% | Sep 1, 6:52 PM ET |
| Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals · MLB | spread 1.5 | Atlanta Braves @ ESPN BET + Washington Nationals @ LowVig | 3.10% | Sep 1, 6:52 PM ET |
| Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers · MLB | total 7.5 | Over @ ESPN BET + Under @ LowVig | 2.96% | Aug 25, 6:52 PM ET |
Frequently asked questions
How often do ESPN BET and LowVig disagree?
In the last 30 days our scanner recorded 13 game-markets where ESPN BET and LowVig quoted the same line at prices whose implied probabilities summed to less than 100% — a cross-book arbitrage — across 102 scans. The average net edge was 1.31% and the largest 3.22%.
Which has lower vig, ESPN BET or LowVig?
LowVig — ESPN BET measures 4.55% overall and LowVig measures 3.68% over 30 days of live lines. The per-market and per-sport breakdown is in the table above.
Does this mean I can make money betting both?
Not automatically. These are measurements of past disagreements at the moment they were detected. Lines move within minutes, displayed prices may not be available at your stake, both books must be accessible in your state, and neither book has to honor a stale price. ArbMonster shows the math; the execution and the risk are yours.
Which sports do ESPN BET and LowVig disagree on most?
MLB (12 game-markets, avg 1.80%); NFL (1 game-markets, avg 1.23%).
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