DraftKings vs LowVig: where their odds disagree
Over the last 30 days, DraftKings and LowVig quoted the same line at prices that summed to less than 100% on 16 game-markets — a cross-book arbitrage — with an average net edge of 2.85% and a peak of 12.55%. On plain vig, LowVig is the cheaper book of the two. Last disagreement: Sep 16, 2026.
Vig: DraftKings vs LowVig
| DraftKings | LowVig | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall overround | 4.54% | 3.68% |
| Moneyline | 4.28% | 3.06% |
| Spreads | 4.66% | 3.52% |
| Totals | 4.69% | 4.16% |
| NFL | 4.57% | 3.19% |
| MLB | 4.65% | 3.00% |
| NBA | 4.58% | 3.34% |
| NHL | 4.33% | 3.35% |
| MLS | — | 5.90% |
Disagreements by sport
How big the edges were
Share of detections by net edge bucket. Most cross-book edges are small; the tail is where the money and the execution risk both live.
Recent examples
Best detection per game-market, most recent first. These windows have closed.
| Game | Market | Legs | Net edge | Detected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets · MLB | moneyline | Baltimore Orioles @ DraftKings + New York Mets @ LowVig | 1.57% | Sep 16, 7:13 PM ET |
| Texas Rangers @ Arizona Diamondbacks · MLB | moneyline | Arizona Diamondbacks @ LowVig + Texas Rangers @ DraftKings | 2.56% | Sep 12, 8:13 PM ET |
| Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies · MLB | moneyline | Houston Astros @ DraftKings + Philadelphia Phillies @ LowVig | 2.16% | Sep 9, 6:48 PM ET |
| St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants · MLB | total 7.5 | Over @ DraftKings + Under @ LowVig | 2.22% | Sep 8, 9:53 PM ET |
| Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers · MLB | moneyline | Chicago Cubs @ LowVig + Milwaukee Brewers @ DraftKings | 8.32% | Sep 8, 7:51 PM ET |
| Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers · NFL | spread 3.0 | Carolina Panthers @ LowVig + Chicago Bears @ DraftKings | 0.72% | Sep 8, 8:19 AM ET |
| Chicago Cubs @ Miami Marlins · MLB | spread 1.5 | Chicago Cubs @ DraftKings + Miami Marlins @ LowVig | 0.73% | Sep 4, 7:13 PM ET |
| Kansas City Royals @ Toronto Blue Jays · MLB | moneyline | Kansas City Royals @ LowVig + Toronto Blue Jays @ DraftKings | 9.80% | Aug 27, 7:09 PM ET |
| Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox · MLB | moneyline | Chicago White Sox @ LowVig + Texas Rangers @ DraftKings | 2.61% | Aug 26, 7:53 PM ET |
| Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves · MLB | moneyline | Atlanta Braves @ LowVig + Los Angeles Dodgers @ DraftKings | 2.70% | Aug 26, 7:22 PM ET |
| Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers · MLB | moneyline | Detroit Tigers @ DraftKings + Tampa Bay Rays @ LowVig | 3.44% | Aug 26, 1:15 PM ET |
| Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants · MLB | spread 1.5 | Cincinnati Reds @ DraftKings + San Francisco Giants @ LowVig | 9.00% | Aug 25, 9:57 PM ET |
| Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants · MLB | moneyline | Cincinnati Reds @ DraftKings + San Francisco Giants @ LowVig | 12.55% | Aug 25, 9:57 PM ET |
| Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves · MLB | spread 1.5 | Atlanta Braves @ LowVig + Los Angeles Dodgers @ DraftKings | 1.47% | Aug 25, 7:23 PM ET |
| Philadelphia Phillies @ Seattle Mariners · MLB | spread 1.5 | Philadelphia Phillies @ LowVig + Seattle Mariners @ DraftKings | 10.04% | Aug 24, 9:54 PM ET |
Frequently asked questions
How often do DraftKings and LowVig disagree?
In the last 30 days our scanner recorded 16 game-markets where DraftKings and LowVig quoted the same line at prices whose implied probabilities summed to less than 100% — a cross-book arbitrage — across 30 scans. The average net edge was 2.85% and the largest 12.55%.
Which has lower vig, DraftKings or LowVig?
LowVig — DraftKings measures 4.54% overall and LowVig measures 3.68% over 30 days of live lines. The per-market and per-sport breakdown is in the table above.
Does this mean I can make money betting both?
Not automatically. These are measurements of past disagreements at the moment they were detected. Lines move within minutes, displayed prices may not be available at your stake, both books must be accessible in your state, and neither book has to honor a stale price. ArbMonster shows the math; the execution and the risk are yours.
Which sports do DraftKings and LowVig disagree on most?
MLB (15 game-markets, avg 5.40%); NFL (1 game-markets, avg 0.30%).
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