DraftKings vs ESPN BET: where their odds disagree
Over the last 30 days, DraftKings and ESPN BET quoted the same line at prices that summed to less than 100% on 24 game-markets — a cross-book arbitrage — with an average net edge of 1.16% and a peak of 10.07%. On plain vig, DraftKings is the cheaper book of the two. Last disagreement: Sep 19, 2026.
Vig: DraftKings vs ESPN BET
| DraftKings | ESPN BET | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall overround | 4.54% | 4.55% |
| Moneyline | 4.28% | 4.12% |
| Spreads | 4.66% | 4.87% |
| Totals | 4.69% | 4.66% |
| NFL | 4.57% | 4.54% |
| MLB | 4.65% | 4.45% |
| NBA | 4.58% | 4.51% |
| NHL | 4.33% | 4.69% |
Disagreements by sport
How big the edges were
Share of detections by net edge bucket. Most cross-book edges are small; the tail is where the money and the execution risk both live.
Recent examples
Best detection per game-market, most recent first. These windows have closed.
| Game | Market | Legs | Net edge | Detected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers @ Baltimore Orioles · MLB | total 9.5 | Over @ DraftKings + Under @ ESPN BET | 0.84% | Sep 18, 8:04 PM ET |
| Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Angels · MLB | total 5.5 | Over @ ESPN BET + Under @ DraftKings | 0.87% | Sep 17, 11:05 PM ET |
| Miami Dolphins @ San Francisco 49ers · NFL | moneyline | Miami Dolphins @ ESPN BET + San Francisco 49ers @ DraftKings | 1.29% | Sep 16, 3:55 PM ET |
| New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins · MLB | total 4.5 | Over @ DraftKings + Under @ ESPN BET | 2.53% | Sep 16, 3:24 PM ET |
| Miami Marlins @ Arizona Diamondbacks · MLB | spread 2.5 | Arizona Diamondbacks @ DraftKings + Miami Marlins @ ESPN BET | 2.00% | Sep 16, 1:07 AM ET |
| Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs · MLB | spread 4.5 | Atlanta Braves @ DraftKings + Chicago Cubs @ ESPN BET | 1.56% | Sep 14, 10:02 PM ET |
| Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs · MLB | spread 5.5 | Atlanta Braves @ DraftKings + Chicago Cubs @ ESPN BET | 1.29% | Sep 14, 9:16 PM ET |
| Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs · MLB | moneyline | Chicago Cubs @ ESPN BET + Pittsburgh Pirates @ DraftKings | 0.30% | Sep 13, 3:32 PM ET |
| Los Angeles Dodgers @ Miami Marlins · MLB | spread 1.5 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ ESPN BET + Miami Marlins @ DraftKings | 4.35% | Sep 13, 2:32 PM ET |
| Seattle Mariners @ Athletics · MLB | total 14.5 | Over @ DraftKings + Under @ ESPN BET | 2.70% | Sep 12, 11:01 PM ET |
| Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves · MLB | spread 9.5 | Atlanta Braves @ DraftKings + Philadelphia Phillies @ ESPN BET | 10.07% | Sep 12, 9:45 PM ET |
| Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills · NFL | moneyline | Buffalo Bills @ DraftKings + Detroit Lions @ ESPN BET | 0.54% | Sep 12, 6:57 PM ET |
| Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves · MLB | total 9.5 | Over @ DraftKings + Under @ ESPN BET | 0.25% | Sep 11, 8:46 PM ET |
| Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers · MLB | total 4.5 | Over @ DraftKings + Under @ ESPN BET | 2.80% | Sep 8, 9:38 PM ET |
| Chicago Cubs @ Miami Marlins · MLB | spread 4.5 | Chicago Cubs @ ESPN BET + Miami Marlins @ DraftKings | 9.29% | Sep 4, 10:01 PM ET |
Frequently asked questions
How often do DraftKings and ESPN BET disagree?
In the last 30 days our scanner recorded 24 game-markets where DraftKings and ESPN BET quoted the same line at prices whose implied probabilities summed to less than 100% — a cross-book arbitrage — across 69 scans. The average net edge was 1.16% and the largest 10.07%.
Which has lower vig, DraftKings or ESPN BET?
DraftKings — DraftKings measures 4.54% overall and ESPN BET measures 4.55% over 30 days of live lines. The per-market and per-sport breakdown is in the table above.
Does this mean I can make money betting both?
Not automatically. These are measurements of past disagreements at the moment they were detected. Lines move within minutes, displayed prices may not be available at your stake, both books must be accessible in your state, and neither book has to honor a stale price. ArbMonster shows the math; the execution and the risk are yours.
Which sports do DraftKings and ESPN BET disagree on most?
MLB (22 game-markets, avg 2.44%); NFL (2 game-markets, avg 0.56%).
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